At 5pm the center of tropical storm Erin was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 51.2 West or about 792 miles east-southeast of St. Maarten.
The system is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the west northwest is expected tonight, with this motion expected to continue into the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Erin is likely to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend. Its closest point is expected to be approximately 135 miles northeast of St. Maarten on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Erin is expected to become a hurricane on Friday (tomorrow). Tropical-storm-force winds extend up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:
RAINFALL: This system could produce rain accumulation of up to 2 to 4 inches (with isolated totals of 6 inches) over the region. This rainfall may be accompanied by thunderstorms and could produce flash flooding and rock falls. Flood Advisory/warning will be issued if necessary.
WIND: Tropical storm force winds are likely to begin on St. Maarten early Saturday.
SEAS: Sea conditions will gradually deteriorate. Small craft advisories and watches will be issued as conditions warrant.
- Residents in areas prone to flooding or near the coast should make the necessary preparations to protect life and property.
- The public should remain alert, continue preparations, and monitor the updates from the Meteorological Department and Disaster Management.
Next Bulletin: 11:00pm Thursday 14th August 2025
FORECASTER: Craig
A Special Weather Bulletin is issued for weather events that are unusual, cause general inconvenience or public concern (requiring the attention and action of emergency authorities) and cannot adequately be described in a regular weather forecast.
A Small Craft Advisory announces that the sea will likely become rough today or is already occurring. A Flash Flood Alert/Advisory announces that heavy rainfall will occur today or is already occurring. Tropical Storm a cyclone with sustained winds between 34-63 knots (39-73 mph).
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible somewhere within the warning area within 48 hours.
